Question
When will Canada replace Justin Trudeau with a new Prime minister?
Resolved:14 Mar 2025 14:00Total Forecasters24
Community Prediction
16 Mar 2025 12:23
(11 Mar 2025 11:58 - 11 Apr 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 11 Mar 2025 11:58 | — |
| median | 16 Mar 2025 12:23 | — |
| upper 75% | 11 Apr 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2026 | 0.5% | — |
What was the final result?14 Mar 2025 14:00
Community Baseline Score
28.6
Community Peer Score
21.6
Authors:
Opened:Jan 10, 2025
Closes:Aug 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 13, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Jan 10, 2025
Closes:Aug 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 13, 2025