Question

Will the S&P 500 index experience a drawdown of at least 40% before 2027?

Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction
33%
(24.4% - 55%)

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50%
community: 33%
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Opened:Feb 23, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 26, 2025