Question
How many executive orders will Donald Trump issue in Q1 2025?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters149
Community Prediction
>40
(27.2 - >40)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 27.18 | — |
median | >40 | — |
upper 75% | >40 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>40 | 54.9% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
35.9
Community Peer Score
15.0
Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2025
Closes:Mar 1, 2025
Resolves:Apr 7, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 16, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2025
Closes:Mar 1, 2025
Resolves:Apr 7, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 16, 2025