Question
When will 100 people or more be in space, or on any astronomical body other than earth, simultaneously?
Total Forecasters116
Community Prediction
>01 Jan 2030
(>01 Jan 2030 - >01 Jan 2030)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | >01 Jan 2030 | — |
| median | >01 Jan 2030 | — |
| upper 75% | >01 Jan 2030 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2030 | 82.6% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 6, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Oct 6, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2019