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18 forecasters
[PRACTICE] Will humans go extinct before 2100?
5%chance
This question is closed for predictions.
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Opened:Jan 20, 2025
Closed:Jan 20, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Apr 11, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 20, 2025
Question Weight:0%
Include Bots:Yes
Will humans go extinct before 2100?
1% chance
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Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?
21% chance
44
If there's a nuclear conflict involving >1,000 detonations, will humanity be extinct within 50 years?
4% chance
58