7 comments
40 forecasters
Will unemployed US citizens be provided with average benefits of at least $1,000 per month in 2030?
20%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 23, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 23, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will 20 million Americans be laid off from private sector jobs in any quarter before 2030?
7% chance
14
Will the unemployment rate for recent college graduates in the United States rise to 20% or more for three months before 2030?
33.3% chance
44
Will employment in US knowledge-intensive sectors (NAICS 52 and 54) decline by more than 1% in any single month before 2030?
50% chance
3