Question

Will an AGI be trained on cheap, accessible hardware before 2040?

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Total Forecasters7
Community Prediction
2.5%
(2.5% - 20%)

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50%
community: 2.5%
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Authors:
Haiku
Opened:Mar 19, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 23, 2025
Technology
Artificial Intelligence