Question

Will Eric Adams be Mayor of New York City on the 1st of April 2025?

Resolved:Yes
73
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction
80%
(75% - 88%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 80%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score
0.2
Authors:
Tom_Metaculus
Opened:Jan 22, 2025
Closes:Jan 22, 2025
Resolves:Apr 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 22, 2025
Include Bots:Yes
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament