44 comments
978 forecasters
Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?
0.1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 3, 2025
Closes:Mar 30, 2025
Resolved:Mar 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 3, 2025
What will be the fastest average solving time of the 3x3x3 Rubik's Cube during November 2025?
4.31 seconds
(4.12 - 4.49)
4.31 seconds
(4.12 - 4.49)
128 forecasters
Will any AI system beat a team of human pros in a forecasting tournament before 2030?
95% chance
81
Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?
96% chance
2.7k