Question

Will the S&P 500 index go up in January 2025?

Resolved:Yes

74 comments74

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction

70.8%

(63.6% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70.8%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

5.0

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Jan 23, 2025

Closes:

Jan 23, 2025

Resolves:

Feb 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 23, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Stocks usually rise by 10% a year. Those days may be over.

USA Today•Jun 28, 2025

Investors are on S&P 500 record watch. Here's what chart experts think

CNBC•Jun 25, 2025

BMO hikes S&P 500 target to 6,700 with benchmark on the cusp of a record high

CNBC•Jun 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Jan 23, 2025

Closes:

Jan 23, 2025

Resolves:

Feb 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 23, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Stocks usually rise by 10% a year. Those days may be over.

USA Today•Jun 28, 2025

Investors are on S&P 500 record watch. Here's what chart experts think

CNBC•Jun 25, 2025

BMO hikes S&P 500 target to 6,700 with benchmark on the cusp of a record high

CNBC•Jun 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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