155 forecasters

How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025?

20-29result: Yes

30-393.6%

≥400.5%

Forecast Timeline

20-29

30-39

≥40

Others (2)

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 27, 2025

Closes:

Mar 29, 2025

Resolved:

Apr 5, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 30, 2025

🏆 Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup 🏆

2025 Leaderboard

Hamas 'moves hostages above ground to use them as human shields ahead of Israel's ground operation in Gaza'

Daily Mail•Sep 15, 2025

Netanyahu ‘killed any hope’ of hostage release with strike on Doha, Qatar’s prime minister says

PBS NewsHour•Sep 11, 2025

Qatar official says Netanyahu ‘killed any hope’ of hostage release with its strike in Doha on Hamas

Associated Press•Sep 11, 2025

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