Question
How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 123
Make a Prediction
| Number of hostages | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Resolved20-29 | 95.7% | |||
≤9 | 0.1% | |||
10-19 | 0.1% | |||
30-39 | 3.6% | |||
≥40 | 0.5% | |||
Total: ?
(? remaining)Which of these actually happened?20-29
Community Peer Score
88.0
Community Baseline Score
68.3
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2025
Closes:Mar 29, 2025
Resolves:Apr 5, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 30, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2025
Closes:Mar 29, 2025
Resolves:Apr 5, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 30, 2025
