Question
What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction
63%
(47.3% - 78.9%)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 47.29% | — |
| median | 63.02% | — |
| upper 75% | 78.86% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 18, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 22, 2025
What will be the highest average score among a selected subset of VideoGameBench on January 1, 2028?
51.1
In the following years, what will be the highest LLM scores on the GPQA Diamond benchmark?
93.1
What will be the best non-human SAT-style score on the hard subset of the QuALITY dataset by January 1, 2030?
97.1
Authors:
Opened:Mar 18, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 22, 2025
What will be the highest average score among a selected subset of VideoGameBench on January 1, 2028?
51.1
In the following years, what will be the highest LLM scores on the GPQA Diamond benchmark?
93.1
What will be the best non-human SAT-style score on the hard subset of the QuALITY dataset by January 1, 2030?
97.1