Question
When will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister?
Total Forecasters9
Community Prediction
28 Feb 2029
(27 Sep 2026 - 12 Dec 2029)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 27 Sep 2026 | — |
| median | 28 Feb 2029 | — |
| upper 75% | 12 Dec 2029 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2040 | 0.6% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 14, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Mar 14, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2025