Question
When will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister?
Total Forecasters13
Community Prediction
18 Oct 2029
(22 Apr 2028 - Sep 2033)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 22 Apr 2028 | — |
| median | 18 Oct 2029 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2033 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2040 | 11.0% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 14, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Mar 14, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2025