105 comments

263 forecasters

Will Joe Biden be the Democratic candidate in the 2020 US presidential election?

95%chance

95%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 95% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 13, 2019

Closes:

Mar 12, 2020

Resolved:

Aug 19, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 14, 2019

Future Perfect 2020 Series

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

163 forecasters

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

Will the next U.S. President have a beard or mustache when elected?