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47 forecasters

-14

47 forecasters

Economy & Business

Will lossless compression fail to be accepted as a macrosociology model selection criterion?

54%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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4 comments10 forecasters

Sentinel-2 compressed 1000× before 2032?

6 comments38 forecasters

CDC Adopts HAES by 2035

8 comments37 forecasters

Development of Human-Level Language Models

Current estimate

22 comments30 forecasters

GPT-3 scaling plateau in < 3 OOMs

10 comments11 forecasters

Employment decline in NAICS 52/54 >1% in any month, 2025-2029?

0 comments11 forecasters

N-S existence & smoothness and compactness

3 comments25 forecasters

Question Answering on Long Texts by 2040

Current estimate

2 comments12 forecasters

N-S existence & smoothness proved false

Current estimate