14 comments
71 forecasters
Will Robert Caro's fifth and final volume of his Lyndon Johnson biography be published during his lifetime?
48%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 25, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 27, 2019
Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?
28% chance
28
When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?
Apr 2034
(03 Aug 2029 - Jul 2038)
Apr 2034
(03 Aug 2029 - Jul 2038)
19 forecasters
Will it be confirmed that Lee Harvey Oswald acted with co-conspirators in the assassination of President Kennedy before November 23, 2063?
5% chance
26