16 comments
111 forecasters
In the year ending on November 2nd, 2020, will the total worldwide non-governmental funding of AI & Automation social science research exceed $100M?
76%chance
Ambiguous
The community gave this a 76% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 2, 2019
Closes:Sep 30, 2020
Resolved:Feb 9, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 2, 2019
Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?
73% chance
41
Will global corporate spending on adoption of AI applications, infrastructure, and services reach or exceed $700 billion USD during 2029?
96% chance
18
Before 2035, will the major science funding agencies NIH and NSF require formal reporting of AI involvement in research outputs as a condition of funding?
60% chance
25