Question

When will Hong Kong stop being a Special Administrative Region of China?

Total Forecasters77
Community Prediction
Nov 2046
(Jun 2036 - Feb 2049)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%Jun 2036
medianNov 2046
upper 75%Feb 2049
Upper bound
>Jan 20703.9%
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 22, 2019
Closes:Aug 8, 2044
Scheduled resolution:Nov 13, 2069
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 24, 2019