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54 forecasters

12

54 forecasters

Health & Pandemics

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

52%chance

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2 comments4 forecasters

Date of disease eradication?

Lymphatic filariasis (elephantiasis)May 2045

MalariaJan 2042

MeaslesSep 2041

Cysticercosis (pork tapeworm)Aug 2039

59 comments276 forecasters

Malaria mortality reduction by 90%?

28 comments32 forecasters

Influenza B/Yamagata Eradication

17 comments114 forecasters

Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?

10 comments39 forecasters

Will WHO prequalify moxidectin by 2027?

11 comments54 forecasters

Date of Worldwide Polio Eradication

Current estimate

5 comments6 forecasters

First year with no wild polio cases

26 comments145 forecasters

Fewer than 375M in extreme poverty by 2030