Question
Will the Chinese police or military intervene in Hong Kong in 2019?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters69
Community Prediction
1%
(1% - 2%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
81.7
Community Peer Score
16.4
Authors:
Opened:Nov 22, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2019
Resolves:Jan 12, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 23, 2019
Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?
4%
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?
20%
Will China make an official statement before 2030 saying that it has disavowed use of force as a means for reunification with Taiwan?
0.1%
Authors:
Opened:Nov 22, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2019
Resolves:Jan 12, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 23, 2019
Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?
4%
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?
20%
Will China make an official statement before 2030 saying that it has disavowed use of force as a means for reunification with Taiwan?
0.1%