4 comments
18 forecasters
Will the either the USA or China improve on their score on an the Animal Protection Index indicator for recognition of animal sentience, by the end 2022?
33%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 33% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 28, 2019
Closes:May 31, 2021
Resolved:Mar 8, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 30, 2019
Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?
95% chance
35
Will reducing wild animal suffering be a mainstream moral issue in America before 2200?
66.7% chance
71
Will commercial animal farming be prohibited in the US before 2041?
1% chance
174