213 forecasters

Will humanity maintain a continuous off-Earth presence until 2050?

80%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 3, 2019

Closes:

Jul 14, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 5, 2019

The End of the International Space Station Will Begin a New Era of Commercial Outposts

Scientific American•Nov 1, 2025

International Space Station marks 25 years of nonstop human presence in orbit

PBS NewsHour•Oct 31, 2025

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