Question

Will no evidence for a new light (17 MeV) particle be independently published before 2021?

Resolved:Yes

3 comments3

Total Forecasters94

Community Prediction

99%

(99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

65.8

Community Peer Score

9.4

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Dec 11, 2019

Closes:

Jan 8, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 8, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 13, 2019

Natural Sciences

Space

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026?

When will evidence of successful synthesis of the element ununennium be published?

Nov 2030

What will be the mass in eV of the next fundamental particle to be discovered?

6.28T

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Dec 11, 2019

Closes:

Jan 8, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 8, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 13, 2019

Natural Sciences

Space

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026?

When will evidence of successful synthesis of the element ununennium be published?

Nov 2030

What will be the mass in eV of the next fundamental particle to be discovered?

6.28T