9 comments
102 forecasters
Will our global atmospheric CO₂ concentration over the 2020 to 2023 period be on path to limit warming to 1.4°C by mid-century?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 16, 2019
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolved:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 18, 2019
Will the average global CO₂ atmospheric concentration be less than 423.89 PPM over the 2024 to 2027 period (inclusive)?
13% chance
68
Will the average global CO₂ atmospheric concentration be less than 433.19 ppm over the 2024 to 2027 period?
33.3% chance
49
What will the atmospheric CO2 concentration be in 2030?
437 ppm
(432 - 443)
437 ppm
(432 - 443)
85 forecasters