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Will the next President of the United States be impeached?

So far, the United States has had three presidents out of 44 total be impeached: Andrew Johnson in 1868, Bill Clinton in 1998, and Donald Trump, the current president, in 2019. Richard Nixon in 1974 resigned when it seemed likely that he would be impeached and convicted.

One notable feature of this list of dates is that the last two impeachments were relatively close together relative to the span of US history. As such, it seems possible that we live in a time where presidents are more likely to be impeached.

Will the US House of Representatives vote to impeach the next president of the United States?

The 'next president of the United States' is the president to take office after Donald Trump leaves office. This question will resolve positively upon an impeachment, and will close retroactively one month prior to a vote. It will resolve negatively when the next president of the United States leaves office without being impeached. It will resolve ambiguously if there is no next president of the United States.

Categories: Law, Politics – US

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Use the community stats to get a better sense of the community consensus (or lack thereof) for this question. Sometimes people have wildly different ideas about the likely outcomes, and sometimes people are in close agreement. There are even times when the community seems very certain of uncertainty, like when everyone agrees that event is only 50% likely to happen.

When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.

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