Question

PhilPapers survey mini-series: The many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics

Resolved:19.42

2 comments2

Total Forecasters57

Community Prediction

32.7

(22.4 - 45.1)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	22.36	32.66	45.11
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	22.36	—
median	32.66	—
upper 75%	45.11	—

What was the final result?19.42

Community Peer Score

10.0

Community Baseline Score

29.5

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Dec 24, 2019

Closes:

Aug 1, 2020

Resolves:

Oct 29, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 26, 2019

Social Sciences

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Will a reliable poll of physicists reveal that a majority of those polled accept the many-worlds interpretation by 2050?

39%

Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?

Will Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena have an ontologically-shocking explanation?

0.5%