Question

Will the Conservative Party form the first government after the next UK general election?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters277
Community Prediction
10%
(5% - 16%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
2.1
Community Peer Score
22.4
Authors:
Opened:Dec 30, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2020