Question
When will an AI gain unauthorized access to systems outside its designated environment?
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction
20 Nov 2028
(08 Apr 2027 - Jan 2031)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 08 Apr 2027 | — |
| median | 20 Nov 2028 | — |
| upper 75% | Jan 2031 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2049 | 0.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 9, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2049
Authors:
Opened:May 9, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2049
