Question
What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?
Resolved:295Total Forecasters738
Community Prediction
335
(312 - >350)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <150 | 0.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 312 | — |
| median | 335.3 | — |
| upper 75% | >350 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >350 | 33.9% | — |
What was the final result?295
Community Peer Score
69.2
Community Baseline Score
-0.2
Authors:
Opened:Feb 3, 2025
Closes:Mar 5, 2025
Resolves:Mar 17, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 17, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Feb 3, 2025
Closes:Mar 5, 2025
Resolves:Mar 17, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 17, 2025