Question

Will Kim Jong-un still be the de facto leader of North Korea on 1 January 2022?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters453
Community Prediction
99%
(98% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
84.5
Community Peer Score
19.1
Authors:
Opened:Jan 8, 2020
Closes:Dec 1, 2021
Resolves:Dec 31, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 8, 2020