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25 forecasters
On January 1, 2030, what will be the difference (in FLOP) between the largest AI models from non-authoritarian and authoritarian countries?
Current estimate
4.2×10²⁵ FLOP
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2025
