3 comments
25 forecasters
On January 1, 2030, what will be the difference (in FLOP) between the largest AI models from non-authoritarian and authoritarian countries?
Current estimate
4.2×10²⁵ FLOP
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2025
