Question

Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?

Resolved:No

62 comments62

Total Forecasters908

Community Prediction

0.1%

(0.1% - 0.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

79.7

Community Peer Score

74.6

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Feb 3, 2025

Closes:

Mar 16, 2025

Resolves:

Mar 17, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 6, 2025

Bridgewater Forecasting Contest

Politics

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Rappeport, Alan. "Record Debt Limit Increase Would Break Republican Precedent." The New York Times, 19 June 2025,

•Jun 19, 2025

How the debt ceiling deadline is determined and what happens after : Planet Money : NPR

NPR Online News•Jun 19, 2025

'Economic heart attack': 3 top experts detail how they see a possible US debt crisis unfolding

Business Insider•Jun 15, 2025

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