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20 comments
506 forecasters

Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from?

Ethiopiaresult: Yes
Kenya54%
Another country5%
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:Feb 10, 2025
Closes:Mar 1, 2025
Resolved:Mar 2, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 24, 2025
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest
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Marathon settled by historic photo finish at World Athletics Championships
Independent•Sep 15, 2025
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Alphonce Simbu wins World Championships men’s marathon in photo finish
NBC•Sep 15, 2025
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World Athletics Championships results: Peres Jepchirchir outduels Tigst Assefa for gold in thrilling marathon sprint finish
Independent•Sep 14, 2025
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When will a runner break the 2-hour mark in a competitive marathon?

19 Jan 2028
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19 Jan 2028
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17 forecasters

When will the women's world record for a competitive marathon reach below 2 hours?

>Jan 2061
(>Jan 2061 - >Jan 2061)
>Jan 2061
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9 forecasters

Who will win the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Championship?

Oscar Piastri
79.9%
Lando Norris
19.5%
Max Verstappen
0.1%
5 others
58 forecasters
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