3 comments
10 forecasters
Will one UN member state recognize Kurdistan before 2036?
12%chance
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Feb 14, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 18, 2025
Will Syria be partitioned into new, internationally recognized sovereign states before 2040?
12% chance
15
Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?
2% chance
55
Will the Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order become an independent, recognised country before 2035?
50% chance
9