Question

How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?

Resolved:57.687k
Total Forecasters955
Community Prediction
<60k
(<60k - <60k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<60k83.9%
Quartiles
lower 25%<60k
median<60k
upper 75%<60k
Upper bound
>100k0.2%

What was the final result?57.687k

Community Baseline Score
118.5
Community Peer Score
107.0
Authors:
Opened:Feb 3, 2025
Closes:Mar 3, 2025
Resolves:Mar 4, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 6, 2025