20 comments
69 forecasters
Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?
57%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 57% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 9, 2016
Closes:May 16, 2017
Resolved:Feb 26, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 10, 2016
Will online poker be dead on January 1, 2031?
5% chance
187
When will a robot poker player win a significant live (not online) competition?
26 Mar 2030
(18 Mar 2026 - Jun 2040)
26 Mar 2030
(18 Mar 2026 - Jun 2040)
81 forecasters
When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?
Mar 2033
(13 Sep 2027 - Jul 2048)
Mar 2033
(13 Sep 2027 - Jul 2048)
39 forecasters