Question
What is the largest amount of iron that will be used to fertilise an ocean as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2026?
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction
49.9 tonnes
(4.64 tonnes - 193 tonnes)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 4.642 | — |
| median | 49.88 | — |
| upper 75% | 193.4 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >500 | 4.0% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 9, 2020
Closes:Jul 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Feb 20, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 11, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jan 9, 2020
Closes:Jul 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Feb 20, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 11, 2020