Question
Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?
Total Forecasters275
Community Prediction
58%
(40% - 65%)
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 12, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 12, 2020
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
20%
Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?
65%
By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?
58%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 12, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 12, 2020
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
20%
Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?
65%
By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?
58%