Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

143 forecasters

16

143 forecasters

Will the United States institute a military draft by 2025?

ResolvedNo

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

0 comments8 forecasters

US military draft in which term?

2025–20299.9%

2029–20339.9%

2033–203710.9%

2037–20419.1%

None of the above60.3%

1 comment81 forecasters

Will Russia order a general mobilization before January 1, 2027?

2 comments6 forecasters

Mandatory Military Service before 2040?

3 comments106 forecasters

Will US military be deployed domestically in ≥3 metro areas in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

2025-2026Annulled

3 comments122 forecasters

US president to invoke the Insurrection Act in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

22 comments279 forecasters

Will the United States conduct a ground invasion of Iran before 2027?

0 comments87 forecasters

US military leader campaign/accept a civilian executive position in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

15 comments198 forecasters

New #1 Military Spending Country by 2030?