Question

Will the United States accuse the People's Republic of China of blockading Taiwan before April 1, 2025?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction
15%
(10% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score
0.6
Community Baseline Score
72.2
Opened:Feb 8, 2025
Closes:Feb 8, 2025
Resolves:Apr 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 8, 2025
Question Weight:80%
Include Bots:Yes