Question
When will Queen Elizabeth II cease to be Queen of the United Kingdom?
Resolved:08 Sep 2022 12:30Total Forecasters310
Community Prediction
28 Sep 2022
(19 Aug 2022 - 29 Nov 2022)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 19 Aug 2022 | — |
| median | 28 Sep 2022 | — |
| upper 75% | 29 Nov 2022 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2030 | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?08 Sep 2022 12:30
Community Baseline Score
10.2
Community Peer Score
4.1
Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Resolves:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 14, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Resolves:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 14, 2020