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39
178
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178 forecasters
AGI Outcomes
4 more...
If human-level artificial intelligence is developed, will World GDP grow by at least 30.0% in any of the subsequent 15 years?
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25 comments
67 forecasters
Years Between GWP Growth >25% and AGI
Current estimate
5.05 years
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GWP Doubles in <4 Years by 2050
40%
chance
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Date of GWP Growth Over 130%
Current estimate
Mar 2059
20 comments
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GWP Doubles in 8 Years vs. 2 Years By 2050
66.7%
chance
26 comments
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GWP Doubles in 4 Years vs. 1 Year by 2050
56%
chance
8 comments
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Real world GDP on the year AGI is deployed
Current estimate
158 trillions $
64 comments
174 forecasters
Transformative AI Date
Current estimate
Jun 2039
8 comments
17 forecasters
5Y after AGI, world GDP per capita?-2
Current estimate
23.8k $