423 forecasters

Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?

6%chance

6%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 6% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

cortezon.francois

Opened:

Oct 13, 2016

Closes:

Nov 28, 2019

Resolved:

Jan 18, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 14, 2016

Social Sciences

🏆 2016-2025 Leaderboard

How Genetics and Diet Helped the World’s Oldest Woman Live to 117

Scientific American•Oct 1, 2025

She was the world’s oldest person, living to 117. What do her genes reveal about the secret of longevity?

CNN•Sep 26, 2025

She lived to be the world's oldest person. A new study credits genetic variants — and maybe her yogurt habit.

CBS•Sep 26, 2025

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