82 comments
423 forecasters
Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?
6%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 6% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 13, 2016
Closes:Nov 28, 2019
Resolved:Jan 18, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 14, 2016
When will the next person reach 120 years of age?
Aug 2037
(Mar 2034 - Oct 2043)
Aug 2037
(Mar 2034 - Oct 2043)
12 forecasters
What will be the longest verified human lifespan on record on January 1 2050?
125 years
(123 - 129)
125 years
(123 - 129)
154 forecasters
When will the first person reach 150 years of age?
2133
(2089 - 2173)
2133
(2089 - 2173)
15 forecasters