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58 forecasters

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58 forecasters

Future Perfect 2020 Series

Will Prediction Markets judge the Democratic primary to be settled after Super Tuesday?

ResolvedNo

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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2 comments93 forecasters

Markets give >20% to a twice-elected president's renomination in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

3 comments44 forecasters

US stock market crash of >10% in any week before 2027?

9 comments75 forecasters

1st Senators from Puerto Rico both Democrats

16 comments161 forecasters

Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

0 comments6 forecasters

What will be the Dem Electoral College margin in 2028?

Current estimate

11 comments241 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Gavin Newsom25.7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10.6%

Pete Buttigieg7.2%

4 comments4 forecasters

Change in Average Inflation Rate 2028 PV Prediction

"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will correctly predict the 2028 Popular Vote Winner60%

"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will be below 0% for the 2028 election40%

5 comments50 forecasters

Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?

Democratic Party59.9%

Republican Party40%