29 comments
32 forecasters
Will the Doomsday clock advance closer to Midnight?
40%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 40% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 16, 2020
Closes:Jan 23, 2020
Resolved:Jan 23, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 16, 2020
When will the Doomsday Clock reach midnight?
2085
(Apr 2039 - >2100)
2085
(Apr 2039 - >2100)
81 forecasters
When will the Climate Clock hit zero?
19 Aug 2029
(18 Oct 2028 - Nov 2030)
19 Aug 2029
(18 Oct 2028 - Nov 2030)
38 forecasters
If nuclear conflict occurs by 2030, will it start in the period June-September?
32% chance
59