Question
What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?
Resolved:62.46Total Forecasters517
Community Prediction
54.2
(51.6 - 56.8)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <15 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 51.62 | — |
| median | 54.19 | — |
| upper 75% | 56.79 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >65 | 2.2% | — |
What was the final result?62.46
Community Peer Score
72.9
Community Baseline Score
-36.2
Authors:
Opened:Feb 17, 2025
Closes:Mar 18, 2025
Resolves:Mar 20, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Feb 17, 2025
Closes:Mar 18, 2025
Resolves:Mar 20, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2025