Question

In its March update, will Similarweb report deepseek.com being ranked in the top 50 globally?

Resolved:Yes

85 comments85

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction

30%

(17% - 39%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

6.1

Community Baseline Score

-74.1

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Feb 17, 2025

Closes:

Feb 17, 2025

Resolves:

Mar 2, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 17, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?

Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?

32%

Will OpenAI surpass 15 million business users before 2030?

99%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Feb 17, 2025

Closes:

Feb 17, 2025

Resolves:

Mar 2, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 17, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?

Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?

32%

Will OpenAI surpass 15 million business users before 2030?

99%