Question
When will we be able to predict at least 10% of variance in Big Five agreeableness based on genetic information alone?
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction
Nov 2033
(19 Sep 2027 - Oct 2048)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <19 Jan 2021 | 6.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 19 Sep 2027 | — |
| median | Nov 2033 | — |
| upper 75% | Oct 2048 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2060 | 16.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 24, 2020
Closes:Apr 22, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2060
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 26, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jan 24, 2020
Closes:Apr 22, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2060
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 26, 2020