356 comments
334 forecasters
How many infections of COVID-19 will be estimated to have occurred before 2021? [50k-1B range]
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2020
Closes:Mar 28, 2020
Resolved:Jan 17, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2020
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
76.4k deaths
(28.5k - 228k)
76.4k deaths
(28.5k - 228k)
39 forecasters
By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?
3% chance
54
When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?
Aug 2033
(12 Apr 2030 - >Jan 2040)
Aug 2033
(12 Apr 2030 - >Jan 2040)
15 forecasters